China ditches zero covid policy, BlackRock & the extended bear market. Updates from: (01-03 to 01-06) (Paid)
In this week we will be looking at 7 separate sources for our macro recap.
We strive to incorporate as many independent views into this newsletter. We want to identify & synthesis this data for our audience, allowing you to get an understanding from a high level what is happening, then be able to quickly dig into the details of the newsletters linked below.
Let's Dive In!
YouTube Channel: Eurodollar University
Title: The real story behind China's ditch of Zero-COVID begins w/its dead tiger.
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2f4KF9gxXE
Here are the top takeaways:
In January 2021, Xi Jinping gave a speech at Davos warning that if major economies took a wrong turn, it would severely impact global economic and financial stability.
The Pboc has not updated its balance sheet for November, and the NBS's manufacturing PMI for December was atrocious.
This all comes back to the dollar problem that China is having - there is a growing amount of dollars coming into the country that aren't being offset by exports.
This has led to a decrease in activity on Commercial Bank balance sheets in terms of foreign assets.
If the major economies do take a wrong turn, it could severely impact global trade and send the world into another recession.
Xi Jinping knows that China is becoming a bad bet for foreign investors and that this could lead to trouble for the country.
YouTube Channel: Wall St For Main St
Title: Dr. Marc Faber: New Normal Of Higher Inflation For Many Years? Asset Price Bear Market For Many Yrs?
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tl6Nvf49e-M
Here are the top takeaways:
The Federal Reserve may stop hiking interest rates if the economy weakens, but it is unclear whether or not they will actually take action.
If interest rates continue to rise, the US government will have a difficult time making interest payments on its debt.
Turkey is an example of a country that has managed inflation well, but where the majority of people have not become wealthier as a result.
Japan is another country with a large amount of government debt that has been able to keep its interest rates low.
Central bankers are academics who have never worked in the real world and are overconfident in their ability to manage the economy.
There is a lot of volatility expected in the markets in the coming years, and some people will make a lot of money while others lose money.
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